Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Neuchatel Xamax v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Neuchatel Xamax 1-3 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau got the better of Neuchatel Xamax 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came home.
Under the surface, Neuchatel Xamax had 54% of the ball to Aarau's 46%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.71 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Neuchatel Xamax.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.83 for Aarau.
Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Result & Final Score
Neuchatel Xamax 1 - 3 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 19%, draw 20%, Aarau 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.