Padova Calcio 1-0 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.09
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.0
X/1
14%
6.38
X/2
16%
5.61
X/X
14%
4.75
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.33
2/X
5%
11.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.24/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.15
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.9 Crosses 10.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pescara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.39 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
291 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2025 Pescara Pescara 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
23.02.2019 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 2-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB
02.10.2018 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
01.10.2018 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
17.05.2014 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara nan
20.12.2013 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio nan
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-0
AWAY Pescara
0.63 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
190 Passes 396
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Pescara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 37% of the ball to Pescara's 63%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.22 — on chances, Pescara could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.33 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Pescara?

Padova Calcio 1-0 Pescara in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 34%, draw 24%, Pescara 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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