Palermo vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palermo v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Catanzaro
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Palermo
İTC
Palermo 3-2 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo squeezed past Catanzaro 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Palermo had 41% of the ball to Catanzaro's 59%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.24 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palermo and 1.17 for Catanzaro.
What was the final score of Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Palermo 3-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palermo vs Catanzaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Palermo 52%, draw 27%, Catanzaro 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.