Sampdoria 1-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.51
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.29
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.73
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
17%
3.42
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
14%
5.5
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -2%
1.19/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.6 Crosses 20.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Südtirol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 3-1 HT 3-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
15.02.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 2-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
21.09.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
13.04.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
28.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 3-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
14.08.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-0
AWAY Südtirol
1.13 xG 0.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
255 Passes 211
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria nicked a narrow win over Südtirol 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sampdoria as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria had 52% of the ball to Südtirol's 48%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Südtirol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sampdoria and 1.67 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Südtirol?

Sampdoria 1-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 41%, draw 30%, Südtirol 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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