Spezia vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Venezia — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
2-2
HT 1-0
Venezia
İTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Spezia
İTA
Spezia 2-2 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia and Venezia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Venezia at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Spezia had 37% of the ball to Venezia's 63%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.08 to 2.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spezia and 1.17 for Venezia.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Venezia?
Spezia 2-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Venezia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Spezia 21%, draw 20%, Venezia 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venezia) went the other way.