Venezia 2-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Sep 2025

Venezia
2-0 HT 1-0
Spezia
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Venezia vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.75
X/2
11%
6.76
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.36
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.76/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.32
+20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.9 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Venezia vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Spezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
304 Passes 404
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Spezia Spezia 2-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
15.09.2023 Venezia Venezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
14.08.2023 Spezia Spezia 2-2 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTK
02.04.2022 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
19.09.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTA
17.07.2020 Spezia Spezia 0-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB

Venezia 2-0 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-0
AWAY Spezia
1.45 xG 0.32
74% Ball Possession 26%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
584 Passes 158
92% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia beat Spezia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Venezia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Venezia had 74% of the ball to Spezia's 26%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.45 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spezia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venezia and 1.17 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Spezia?

Venezia 2-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Venezia 40%, draw 29%, Spezia 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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