Avellino 2-0 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Sep 2025

Avellino
2-0 HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Avellino vs Virtus Entella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.61
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
12%
5.16
X/2
17%
5.73
X/X
16%
3.45
2/1
14%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.56
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avellino v Virtus Entella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.22/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.58
-2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
– Crosses 22.5
– Yellow Cards 3.3

Avellino vs Virtus Entella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
14.04.2018 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
11.11.2017 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
28.01.2017 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
04.09.2016 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
14.05.2016 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4-0 HT 3-0 Avellino Avellino İTB

Avellino 2-0 Virtus Entella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-0
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.66 xG 0.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
356 Passes 395
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino saw off Virtus Entella 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Avellino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avellino had 47% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 53%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.66 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avellino and 1.67 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Virtus Entella?

Avellino 2-0 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Avellino 35%, draw 30%, Virtus Entella 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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