Südtirol 3-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
8%
7.65
X/X
12%
4.1
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
14%
6.28
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 28%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.51/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.25
+44% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.0 Crosses 16.3
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Reggiana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 2-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
15.09.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 1-3 HT 1-2 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
27.02.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
23.12.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 2-3 HT 1-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.01.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
15.09.2019 Südtirol Südtirol 0-3 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
3-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.95 xG 0.84
38% Ball Possession 62%
29 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
176 Passes 381
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol got the better of Reggiana 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 38% of the ball to Reggiana's 62%, shots finished 29-12, expected goals 1.95 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Südtirol and 1.50 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Reggiana?

Südtirol 3-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 46%, draw 26%, Reggiana 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Under 2.5
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