Cesena 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Sep 2025

Cesena
1-1 HT 1-0
Palermo
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Cesena vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.42
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.08
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.64
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cesena v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
0.98/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.29
-26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.6 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Cesena vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Palermo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.88 xG 1.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.05.2025 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
21.09.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
12.05.2018 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
21.12.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
08.03.2015 Cesena Cesena 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
19.10.2014 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTA

Cesena 1-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY Palermo
1.63 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
364 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cesena had 50% of the ball to Palermo's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cesena and 0.67 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Palermo?

Cesena 1-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cesena 33%, draw 29%, Palermo 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5
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