FC Bari 1908 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.24
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.18
X/2
10%
6.32
X/X
16%
3.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.95
2/X
11%
13.55
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.2pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.7pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.33
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.6 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
31.08.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.03.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
26.12.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
28.04.2012 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.11.2011 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.17 xG 0.66
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
316 Passes 147
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Sampdoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 39% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 63% of the ball to Sampdoria's 37%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.17 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.00 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 34%, draw 39%, Sampdoria 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5
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