Modena vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Reggiana
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTC
Modena 2-1 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Modena edged past Reggiana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 53% of the ball to Reggiana's 47%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.59 to 1.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Reggiana.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Modena and 1.00 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Modena vs Reggiana?
Modena 2-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Modena 54%, draw 24%, Reggiana 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.