Al Shamal 4-6 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 1 May 2026

Al Shamal
4 - 6 HT 1 - 4
Al Sadd
📅01/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over Pick
66%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.14
2-3
43%
1.93
4-5
31%
2.52
6+
11%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
2%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Shamal The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd The Market 57%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.08
1.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
Attack Strength Bad
Defense Strength
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
Crosses 10
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.77 xG 2.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2026 Al Sadd Al Sadd 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
29.12.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
12.01.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
10.08.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
24.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
01.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
4 - 6
AWAY Al Sadd
1.23 xG 5.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
332 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Al Shamal vs Al Sadd
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Sadd had too much for Al Shamal 6-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Al Shamal had 56% of the ball to Al Sadd's 44%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.23 to 5.07.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Shamal and 2.67 for Al Sadd.

Al Shamal vs Al Sadd Result & Final Score

Al Shamal 4 - 6 Al Sadd in the KATEK on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Shamal vs Al Sadd Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 20%, draw 23%, Al Sadd 57%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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