Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.7pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.60/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.07
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
06.10.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
28.07.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
28.05.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
17.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
11.11.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Parnu JK Vaprus as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 50% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 50%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare?

Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 43%, draw 26%, FC Kuressaare 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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