Tallinna Kalev 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+9.8pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.7pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 84%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.79/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.41
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +66%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-5 HT 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
22.04.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 6-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
27.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over Tallinna Kalev 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 37% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 63%, shots finished 10-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 3.33 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Tallinna Kalev 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 18%, draw 20%, Nomme JK Kalju 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5
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