HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities
HFX Wanderers v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HFX Wanderers 1-3 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Ottawa saw off HFX Wanderers 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-3.
From a near-even 36% / 29% / 35% read, it was Atletico Ottawa who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.57 to 1.13 — by the quality of chances, HFX Wanderers deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for HFX Wanderers against 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Result & Final Score
HFX Wanderers 1 - 3 Atletico Ottawa in the Canada - Premier League on 01/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 36%, draw 29%, Atletico Ottawa 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HFX Wanderers) went the other way.