HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HFX Wanderers v Atletico Ottawa — Team-Based Signals
HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HFX Wanderers 1-3 Atletico Ottawa — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Ottawa saw off HFX Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Atletico Ottawa made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.57 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured HFX Wanderers.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.17 for Atletico Ottawa.
What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?
HFX Wanderers 1-3 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Atletico Ottawa?
Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 41%, draw 22%, Atletico Ottawa 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.