Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Ottawa v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Ottawa nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 62% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 38%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.46 to 1.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured HFX Wanderers.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.00 for HFX Wanderers.
What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?
Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 45%, draw 23%, HFX Wanderers 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.