Wil 1900 1-3 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.24/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.30
+2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
16.0 Crosses 10.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Aarau
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.01 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-4 HT 2-2 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
16.03.2025 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 0-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
24.11.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
26.07.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-2 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
17.05.2024 Aarau Aarau 0-4 HT 0-3 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
23.02.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
1-3
AWAY Aarau
1.54 xG 1.84
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
353 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau got the better of Wil 1900 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Aarau made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 61% of the ball to Aarau's 39%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.54 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.33 for Aarau.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Aarau?

Wil 1900 1-3 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 39%, draw 23%, Aarau 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wil 1900) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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