Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botev Plovdiv v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Botev Plovdiv squeezed past Cherno More Varna 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 17-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.00 for Cherno More Varna.
What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 48%, draw 23%, Cherno More Varna 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.