Botev Plovdiv 5-0 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.71/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.81
-30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2026 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-0 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
29.11.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
27.07.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
05.04.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
25.10.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
31.03.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
5-0
AWAY Cherno More Varna
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv swept aside Cherno More Varna 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Botev Plovdiv made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 46% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 54%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.00 for Cherno More Varna.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Botev Plovdiv 5-0 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 34%, draw 29%, Cherno More Varna 37%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
16 May 2026
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