CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.17
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
58%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
28%
-5.3pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
58%
Away Win
47%
+10.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 51%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.21/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.80
-79% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 HT 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
05.04.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
27.10.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 5-4 HT 3-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
07.04.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
16.12.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-3 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
28.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-0
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia edged past Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Ludogorets Razgrad carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 56% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 2.83 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 23%, draw 19%, Ludogorets Razgrad 58%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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