Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arda Kardzhali ran out comfortable winners over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Arda Kardzhali 4-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 70%, draw 16%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.