Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.63/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.74
-38% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2026 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
22.04.2026 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-4 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BULK
06.12.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
11.08.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
23.11.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 4-2 HT 3-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv beat Arda Kardzhali 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Lokomotiv Plovdiv made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 46% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 54%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.17 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 38%, draw 32%, Arda Kardzhali 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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