Hillerod 2-3 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.79
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
18%
6.14
X/2
10%
5.74
X/X
7%
5.11
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.41
2/X
11%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.30/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.11
-3% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
12.8 Crosses 21.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.26 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
450 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2026 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
17.04.2026 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
15.03.2026 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-2 HT 2-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
14.09.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 3-0 HT 2-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
24.11.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-2 HT 0-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
29.09.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
2-3
AWAY Esbjerg
2.18 xG 1.28
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 2
455 Passes 232
24 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Hillerod vs Esbjerg
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Esbjerg edged past Hillerod 3-2 away from home in the Denmark 1st Division on 1 Aug 2026. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.18 to 1.28.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hillerod and 1.00 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs Esbjerg?

Hillerod 2-3 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 43%, draw 26%, Esbjerg 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5
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