Libertad 3-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.91
+3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +124%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.5 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Orense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2026 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
22.12.2025 Orense Orense 3-2 HT 0-2 Libertad Libertad EKV1
05.10.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
13.07.2025 Orense Orense 0-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad EKV1
15.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 4-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
19.10.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
3-0
AWAY Orense
2.05 xG 0.71
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
293 Passes 474
18 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 26
FAQ Libertad vs Orense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Libertad ran out comfortable winners over Orense 3-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 1 Aug 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.05 to 0.71.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Libertad and 1.17 for Orense.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Orense?

Libertad 3-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Libertad 39%, draw 29%, Orense 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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