Treowen Stars 2-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.5pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 42%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.50/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.93
+55% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treowen Stars
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
14.03.2026 Treowen Stars 2-2 HT 0-2 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
22.11.2025 Treowen Stars 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALWK
03.10.2025 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 5-2 HT 2-1 Treowen Stars GALFAW
POST-MATCH Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC squeezed past Treowen Stars 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pontypridd Town AFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Treowen Stars and 2.67 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Treowen Stars 2-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 33%, draw 31%, Pontypridd Town AFC 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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