BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 2-1 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils squeezed past FS Jelgava 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.83 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils 2-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 52%, draw 27%, FS Jelgava 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.