FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FS Jelgava 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 46% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 54%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 1.47 to 2.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 0.83 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 36%, draw 22%, BFC Daugavpils 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 went the other way.