FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -16%
0.72/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.35
-38% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.3 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 261
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
25.05.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
10.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 4-1 HT 2-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
01.09.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.06.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
03.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.35 xG 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
391 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 53% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 47%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.35 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.33 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 40%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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