FC Juarez 1-5 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 1 Aug 2026

FC Juarez
1-5 HT 1-3
Pumas UNAM
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Juarez v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.21
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 82%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.7 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.64 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2026 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-2 HT 0-2 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
24.09.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-1 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
28.04.2025 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
13.04.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
18.07.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-2 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
14.01.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK

FC Juarez 1-5 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
1-5
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.40 xG 2.70
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 0
296 Passes 335
24 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM cruised past FC Juarez 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Pumas UNAM found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.40 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 1.50 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?

FC Juarez 1-5 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 36%, draw 25%, Pumas UNAM 39%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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