Pumas UNAM vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 3-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Pumas UNAM 4-2 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM got the better of FC Juarez 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 72% of the ball to FC Juarez's 28%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 3.13 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.50 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs FC Juarez?
Pumas UNAM 4-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 48%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.