Leon vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Club America — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-2
HT 2-1
Club America
MEK
Leon 2-3 Club America — Actual Match Statistics
Club America nicked a narrow win over Leon 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Leon had 62% of the ball to Club America's 38%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.82.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leon and 1.50 for Club America.
What was the final score of Leon vs Club America?
Leon 2-3 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Club America?
Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leon 33%, draw 25%, Club America 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.