Leon 2-3 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒06:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.27/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.00
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.1 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Club America
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
20.02.2025 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
06.10.2024 Leon Leon 1-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
11.02.2024 Leon Leon 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
03.12.2023 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
30.11.2023 Leon Leon 2-2 HT 2-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
2-3
AWAY Club America
1.21 xG 1.82
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
443 Passes 263
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leon vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America nicked a narrow win over Leon 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leon had 62% of the ball to Club America's 38%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Leon and 1.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Leon vs Club America?

Leon 2-3 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leon vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leon 33%, draw 25%, Club America 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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