Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Queretaro v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
2-2
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
Queretaro 1-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Queretaro and Cruz Azul couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Queretaro had 31% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 69%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.50 to 2.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Queretaro and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
Queretaro 1-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 27%, draw 19%, Cruz Azul 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 went the other way.