FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 3-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 3-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez saw off Pumas UNAM 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Juarez had 45% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 55%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 1.17 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?
FC Juarez 3-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 32%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.