Guadalajara vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
1-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
0-4
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 3-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara beat Necaxa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 46% of the ball to Necaxa's 54%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 2.02 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guadalajara and 1.00 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Necaxa?
Guadalajara 3-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 47%, draw 23%, Necaxa 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.