Puebla vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Puebla v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Puebla vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
Puebla 1-1 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Puebla and Guadalajara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.69 to 1.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Puebla and 2.17 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Puebla vs Guadalajara?
Puebla 1-1 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Puebla vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Puebla 27%, draw 24%, Guadalajara 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.