Novi Pazar 1-4 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +26%
1.45/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.27
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.4 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
227 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-5 HT 1-1 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
15.02.2026 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-1 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
13.09.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-2 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.05.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 2-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
09.12.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
03.08.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
1-4
AWAY OFK Beograd
1.84 xG 2.02
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
272 Passes 260
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd swept aside Novi Pazar 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.84 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.50 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?

Novi Pazar 1-4 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 43%, draw 29%, OFK Beograd 27%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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