Los Angeles FC 0-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
9%
9.86
X/X
12%
5.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
2/2
14%
7.06
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +9%
2.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.72
+3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.9 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.80 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
375 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
15.06.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
11.06.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
19.09.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
01.09.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
20.06.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
0-2
AWAY Houston Dynamo
0.97 xG 1.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
361 Passes 643
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
30 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo saw off Los Angeles FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Los Angeles FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 37% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 63%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.50 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

Los Angeles FC 0-2 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 48%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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