San Antonio 1-1 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 32% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 51%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.10
+80% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
Crosses 15.8
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Charleston Battery
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.32 xG 0.42
44% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
184 Passes 253
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-7 HT 0-4 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
03.07.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
1-1
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.41 xG 0.45
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
165 Passes 472
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 32
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio and Charleston Battery couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Charleston Battery at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, San Antonio had 30% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 70%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.41 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for San Antonio and 0.00 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Charleston Battery?

San Antonio 1-1 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 33%, draw 25%, Charleston Battery 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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