Walsall 2-6 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Oct 2024

Walsall
2-6 HT 2-1
Fleetwood Town
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Walsall vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
13%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.54
X/2
12%
7.42
X/X
11%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 16% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Walsall v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walsall EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.42
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 67%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.0 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Walsall vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walsall
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.03.2019 Walsall Walsall 2-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
17.11.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
05.05.2018 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Walsall Walsall İN1
21.11.2017 Walsall Walsall 4-2 HT 2-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
14.03.2017 Walsall Walsall 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
10.12.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN1

Walsall 2-6 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walsall
2-6
AWAY Fleetwood Town
2.07 xG 2.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 363
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Walsall vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town cruised past Walsall 6-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Walsall at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Walsall had 46% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 54%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.07 to 2.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Walsall and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Walsall vs Fleetwood Town?

Walsall 2-6 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walsall vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Walsall 43%, draw 27%, Fleetwood Town 30%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walsall) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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