Arsenal 2-0 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 1 Oct 2024

Arsenal
2 - 0 HT 2 - 0
PSG
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Champions League – 2024/2025

Arsenal vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.25
2-3
47%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.62
6+
5%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.2
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
19%
4.02
X/2
7%
9.86
X/X
16%
4.72
2/1
3%
24.85
2/2
10%
7.81
2/X
5%
15.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Arsenal v PSG — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arsenal The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.89 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
Strong Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Arsenal vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
1W-2D-0L
AWAY PSG
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
473 Passes 489
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.07.2018 Arsenal Arsenal 5-1 HT 1-0 PSG PSG HAZ
23.11.2016 Arsenal Arsenal 2-2 HT 1-1 PSG PSG ŞMP
13.09.2016 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal ŞMP

Arsenal 2-0 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
2 - 0
AWAY PSG
0.71 xG 0.40
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
289 Passes 578
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Arsenal vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arsenal beat PSG 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.

The match data tells the story: PSG saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.71 to 0.40.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Arsenal against 1.33 for PSG.

Arsenal vs PSG Result & Final Score

Arsenal 2 - 0 PSG in the Champions League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arsenal vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 56%, draw 25%, PSG 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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