PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSV Eindhoven v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
PSV Eindhoven
AVL
3-2
HT 2-1
Sporting CP
AVL
1-1
HT 1-0
PSV Eindhoven
HAZ
PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
PSV Eindhoven and Sporting CP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 57% of the ball to Sporting CP's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.63 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 2.33 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP?
PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Sporting CP in the Champions League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 36%, draw 26%, Sporting CP 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 went the other way.