Inter 4-0 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.21
Over
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.4
2-3
44%
1.88
4-5
22%
2.94
6+
10%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.4 — our 24% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
27.5
X/1
18%
3.26
X/2
8%
22.3
X/X
8%
8.29
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
5%
18.3
2/X
4%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Inter win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.54/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.73
-29% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.7 Crosses 9.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
4-0
AWAY Kızılyıldız
2.79 xG 0.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
489 Passes 442
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter ran out comfortable winners over Kızılyıldız 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 52% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.79 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Inter vs Kızılyıldız?

Inter 4-0 Kızılyıldız in the Champions League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Inter 63%, draw 20%, Kızılyıldız 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
1 Oct 2024
19:45 Salzburg vs Brest Analysis →
19:45 Stuttgart vs Sparta Prag Analysis →
22:00 Borussia Dortmund vs Celtic Analysis →
22:00 Bayer Leverkusen vs Milan Analysis →
22:00 Arsenal vs PSG Analysis →
22:00 PSV Eindhoven vs Sporting CP Analysis →