Barcelona 5-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
5.39
Over
62%
1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
18%
14.6
2-3
41%
3.07
4-5
24%
2.3
6+
17%
2.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
14%
3.94
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
8%
21.2
2/1
14%
21.85
2/2
7%
34.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Barcelona win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
-22.3pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.7pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
16%
+22.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
84%
-22.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.42/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.69
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +51%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
558 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.9 Crosses 15.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
5-0
AWAY Young Boys
3.64 xG 0.78
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
609 Passes 223
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
42 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona ran out comfortable winners over Young Boys 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 70% of the ball to Young Boys's 30%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 3.64 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Young Boys?

Barcelona 5-0 Young Boys in the Champions League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 62%, draw 19%, Young Boys 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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