Ferencvaros 4-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.59
Over
66%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.51
2-3
43%
2.01
4-5
31%
2.5
6+
11%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ferencvaros The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.91
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
35 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
4W-2D-0L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.81 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
423 Passes 331
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.04.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-3 HT 0-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
23.04.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MACK
02.02.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
20.09.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
28.04.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
4 - 1
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.45 xG 0.02
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 1
13 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 0
476 Passes 233
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
50 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ferencvaros made light work of MTK Budapest 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 65% to 35% in Ferencvaros's favour, shots finished 26-1, expected goals 2.45 to 0.02.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Ferencvaros against 1.00 for MTK Budapest.

Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest Result & Final Score

Ferencvaros 4 - 1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 68%, draw 17%, MTK Budapest 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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