MTK Budapest 1-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.94
Away Pick
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.23
Over
60%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.31
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
28%
2.81
6+
8%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
2%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME MTK Budapest The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros The Market 62%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.03
1.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
227 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.83 xG 2.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
302 Passes 454
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-3 HT 0-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
23.04.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MACK
02.02.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
20.09.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
28.04.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
06.02.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1 - 1
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.65 xG 1.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 469
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

MTK Budapest and Ferencvaros finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Ferencvaros at 60% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

By the numbers, Ferencvaros saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.65 to 1.51.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for MTK Budapest against 2.67 for Ferencvaros.

MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Result & Final Score

MTK Budapest 1 - 1 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 18%, draw 22%, Ferencvaros 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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