HNK Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
63%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
14%
8.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
17%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
63%
Away Win
62%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -41%
0.92/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.84
-15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
13.9 Crosses 21.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 1.49
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
221 Passes 488
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
23.04.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
15.02.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
09.11.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
24.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.46 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
338 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb got the better of HNK Gorica 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 50% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 50%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.67 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

HNK Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 16%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 63%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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