Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.18
Draw
12%
5.71
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
80%
+1.4pp
12%
Draw
14%
-1.9pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.97/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.62
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
21.4 Crosses 12.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.61 xG 0.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
471 Passes 233
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
15.02.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
09.11.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
24.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
28.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 2-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1-2
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.87 xG 0.55
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
574 Passes 161
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Gorica nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dinamo Zagreb at 81% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 73% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 27%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.87 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 81%, draw 12%, HNK Gorica 7%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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