Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.07
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
8%
6.3
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.51/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.71
-3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Altrincham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
18.04.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
17.09.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 4-1 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
26.02.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
02.10.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-3 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
20.03.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3-1
AWAY Altrincham
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge saw off Altrincham 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 39% of the ball to Altrincham's 61%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.67 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Altrincham?

Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 43%, draw 28%, Altrincham 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ BTTS Yes
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