Deportivo Cali 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.35
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.9 Crosses 11.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
223 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
10.02.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
25.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-2 HT 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
18.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
30.07.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
31.01.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
1-1
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.73 xG 0.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 333
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali and Fortaleza CEIF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Cali carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 43% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 57%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.73 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.17 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Cali 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 58%, draw 23%, Fortaleza CEIF 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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