Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 63% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 37%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.35 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.67 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 33%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.