Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportes Tolima v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico Nacional 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
From a near-even 35% / 29% / 36% read, it was Deportes Tolima who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: Deportes Tolima had 63% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 37%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.35 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.67 for Atletico Nacional.
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score
Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 35%, draw 29%, Atletico Nacional 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS Yes went the other way.